The Rationale Behind Russia's Operations in Ukraine
The conflict in Ukraine has been a focal point of global attention, with various theories and motivations behind Russia's actions. The short and simple answer is that Vladimir Putin believes Ukraine is within Russia's sphere of influence, a notion rooted in historical and imperial traditions. This belief is not solely based on current geopolitical realities but stems from a historical perspective, as Putin views the Russian Empire as a preordained dominion over territories that historically have been under Russian control.
Misinformation and Mobilization
Many of the Russian mobilized soldiers sent to Ukraine are under the impression that their primary mission is to safeguard warehouses while being shipped to the conflict zone. This misconception is propagated at conscription offices to prevent soldiers from fleeing. Reality, however, is far different. Very few volunteers, often referred to as 'Z-patriots' who eagerly desire to 'slay Ukrainians' and return with pockets full of cash, actually expect to achieve their financial goals.
Economic Incentives for Volunteers
For those who are willing to volunteer, the financial incentives offered by Putin are substantial. A storm troop volunteer can earn:
295,000 rubles upon signing up, which is approximately $3,900 200,000 rubles per month or around $2,600 8,000 rubles as a bonus for each day at the front, equivalent to about $105 50,000 rubles for every kilometer they advance, roughly $656While these amounts may seem significant, the median monthly wage in Russia stands at 45,000 rubles, or roughly $590. Despite these economic incentives, the reality on the ground is grim.
Desperation and Reality for Russian Soldiers
Most Russian mobilized soldiers are thrust into trenches at the front and face a grim fate. They rarely see a Ukrainian, encountering drones, artillery, and snipers instead. After they have exhausted their limited time and resources, the next group of recruits is sent to 'pay back for our fallen brothers.' These newly arrived soldiers also face a similar fate, ultimately resulting in significant casualties.
Recorded videos from Russian soldiers who are complaining about the constant shelling and the loss of lives have exposed the harsh conditions on the battlefield. Russian prisoners of war (POWs) have also faced severe repercussions if they surrender, with the threat of up to 10 years in prison if captured.
Stalin's Order Re-enacted: Order 227
The Russian POWs who have been captured are now expected to "take active steps to return to Russia" or face charges of the same crime as the fallen soldiers, echoing order number 227 issued by Joseph Stalin during World War II. This order, known for its severe penalties, was re-enacted in response to the current situation in Ukraine.
Conditions and Motivations
The conditions in Ukrainian POW prisons are actually better than those in trenches. However, as long as Russian soldiers value money over their lives and are more eager to trade their peace and family life for the cold, hunger, and constant shelling of the trenches, there will continue to be Russian troops in Ukraine.
Conclusion
The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is driven by complex motivations and a mix of historical, financial, and political factors. Understanding these elements can provide a clearer picture of the ongoing crisis and its implications for the future.